Despite a Slight Risk for severe weather today issued by the SPC (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/) , I am thinking that we really won't be seeing a whole lot in the way of severe activity. Our RPM models have been showing a line of strong showers and thunderstorms that looks to move through the Missouri/Iowa border late tonight into the overnight hours. My thinking is that if anyone in the viewing area sees any showers or thunderstorms, it will most likely be in Chariton, Saline, Macon, and possibly Randolph counties. Everyone else looks to be in the clear.
The Skew-T model out of Springfield (http://weather.unisys.com/upper_air/skew/skew_KSGF.html) for this morning shows a dry and stable atmosphere with the dewpoint and actual air temperature so far apart. The only thing that is really hinting at any chance for severe weather would be the low level wind shear. You will notice on the Skew T, starting at the surface up to 750 mb, the wind barbs shift 180 degrees as you go up in the atmosphere.
We look to be dry once we get into the afternoon hours on your Friday. The pleasant weather continues into your Saturday with cooler temperatures, highs only in the 60s. Not a whole lot to complain about. Once we get into Mother's Day on Sunday, the clouds look to start rolling back in. We will see a warm front start to lift across the upper Midwest and that will bring us our chances for rain showers heading into Monday and Tuesday. None of this looks to be severe at this time but as always, we will be keeping our eye on things. Check out the latest forecast at www.komu.com and watch KOMU TV 8 for the latest forecast!
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