This seems to be one of the nicest weeks that we have had in quite some time. After we had the cold front move through, that helped drop the temperatures from the 90s to the 80s along with a decrease in humidity. I think all of us can appreciate that. Thank the High pressure system over the top of us for the pleasant weather we are experiencing.
It seems throughout the work week, we will continue with this weather pattern. The High pressure system isn't going anywhere. Temperatures will be in the middle 80s with lots of sunshine. Looking ahead to the Fourth of July holiday weekend, we are keeping it dry. There could be a weather system moving in towards the end of the weekend and early next week dependent upon what direction Tropical Storm Alex would like to go and how fast it will move once it makes landfall. This morning it was traveling only 5 mph in the Gulf. You can go to http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ for more information on Alex and its projected path.
We will have a better idea if we will be affected by the system here in the Midwest later on this week. Stay Tuned. Until then, get outside and enjoy the gorgeous weather!
Tuesday, June 29, 2010
Thursday, June 10, 2010
The Weekend Brings HOT Weather
Strong Southerly winds continue to stream in warm, Gulf moisture into the Midwest. We started feeling that today. With the temperatures warming into the mid and upper 80s, we are seeing the heat indicies into the middle 90s. Hopefully you are able to find a pool or enjoy the lake with the upcoming forecast that I have for you.
There have been some isolated showers and thunderstorms popping up to the North. Luckily for us, we have a nice cap on the atmosphere over us. I think the isolated showers should hold off throught the night tonight and most of tomorrow as well. It is going to get HOT and humid around here for Friday and Saturday. Heat indicies will be pushing 100 degrees. If you have plans to be outside, make sure that you are staying hydrated and are wearing the sunscreen. It really is a must. By tomorrow, some areas may see the cap erode and the Southern viewing area might see some activity during the day and then up in the Northwest over night. Otherwise the main event looks to occur on Saturday.
Looking at the Storm Prediction Center out of Norman Oklahoma: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ Day 3 would be Saturday. We are in a slight risk but I honestly think that main threats are going to be over Kansas back into Oklahoma and off to our West in the Ohio River Valley. I am not saying we don't have a chance to see severe weather, but the main threats look to surround us.
The problem is there is not a whole lot of consistency between the models on the timing of the front moving through. We will have a much better idea of this tomorrow, hopefully. Keep your eyes to the sky Mid MO. I will continue to keep you posted!
There have been some isolated showers and thunderstorms popping up to the North. Luckily for us, we have a nice cap on the atmosphere over us. I think the isolated showers should hold off throught the night tonight and most of tomorrow as well. It is going to get HOT and humid around here for Friday and Saturday. Heat indicies will be pushing 100 degrees. If you have plans to be outside, make sure that you are staying hydrated and are wearing the sunscreen. It really is a must. By tomorrow, some areas may see the cap erode and the Southern viewing area might see some activity during the day and then up in the Northwest over night. Otherwise the main event looks to occur on Saturday.
Looking at the Storm Prediction Center out of Norman Oklahoma: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ Day 3 would be Saturday. We are in a slight risk but I honestly think that main threats are going to be over Kansas back into Oklahoma and off to our West in the Ohio River Valley. I am not saying we don't have a chance to see severe weather, but the main threats look to surround us.
The problem is there is not a whole lot of consistency between the models on the timing of the front moving through. We will have a much better idea of this tomorrow, hopefully. Keep your eyes to the sky Mid MO. I will continue to keep you posted!
Tuesday, June 8, 2010
A Stormy Evening Ahead
The SPC out of Norman, OK has us in a slight risk for severe weather tonight. You can check it out for yourself at http://www.spc.noaa.gov/. There is a Tornado Watch posted until 9 pm for the Western viewing area. That includes: Macon, Chariton, Randolph, Saline, Howard. Cooper, Pettis, and Morgan Counties.
We saw a strong line of showers and thunderstorms move through earlier this morning. Once it passed the area, we were left with a cloud deck that didn't allow temperatures to warm all that much in the early afternoon. Once the clouds started to move out late this afternoon, it has allowed the Western half of the state to warm up into the middle 80s.
With plenty of moisture at the surface after the line of storms this morning, and the warm temperatures the atmosphere has become rather unstable. We also have the cold front that is pushing the moisture out ahead of the front, this will force the warm air to rise into the atmosphere thus creating thunderstorms. We are already starting to see some pop up out over Eastern Kansas and the Kansas City Metro area on the Missouri side.
The Skew-T diagram http://weather.unisys.com/upper_air/skew/skew_KSGF.html will show that we do have a bit of wind shear in the lower levels. This supports circulation with in thunderstorms. We are in the warm sector of this Low Pressure system in which the low level jet is strengthening. If you also look at the CAPE values out over Eastern Kansas/Western Missouri, they are extremely impressive, 3,500 - 4,000 J/KG. CAPE stands for Convective Available Potential Energy. It is a measure of the amount of energy available for convection, and needless to say that is a whole lot of energy. If you would like to read more about what CAPE is you can here: http://www.weather.gov/glossary/index.php?word=CAPE
Put all of the above factors together and the threat for super cell with large hail and tornadic development will be possible. Doppler Dave and I will be monitoring this situation as anything may arise. Keep it right here to www.komu.com and KOMU TV 8 for the latest in severe weather coverage YOU can count on!
We saw a strong line of showers and thunderstorms move through earlier this morning. Once it passed the area, we were left with a cloud deck that didn't allow temperatures to warm all that much in the early afternoon. Once the clouds started to move out late this afternoon, it has allowed the Western half of the state to warm up into the middle 80s.
With plenty of moisture at the surface after the line of storms this morning, and the warm temperatures the atmosphere has become rather unstable. We also have the cold front that is pushing the moisture out ahead of the front, this will force the warm air to rise into the atmosphere thus creating thunderstorms. We are already starting to see some pop up out over Eastern Kansas and the Kansas City Metro area on the Missouri side.
The Skew-T diagram http://weather.unisys.com/upper_air/skew/skew_KSGF.html will show that we do have a bit of wind shear in the lower levels. This supports circulation with in thunderstorms. We are in the warm sector of this Low Pressure system in which the low level jet is strengthening. If you also look at the CAPE values out over Eastern Kansas/Western Missouri, they are extremely impressive, 3,500 - 4,000 J/KG. CAPE stands for Convective Available Potential Energy. It is a measure of the amount of energy available for convection, and needless to say that is a whole lot of energy. If you would like to read more about what CAPE is you can here: http://www.weather.gov/glossary/index.php?word=CAPE
Put all of the above factors together and the threat for super cell with large hail and tornadic development will be possible. Doppler Dave and I will be monitoring this situation as anything may arise. Keep it right here to www.komu.com and KOMU TV 8 for the latest in severe weather coverage YOU can count on!
Thursday, June 3, 2010
Welcome to June!
After an average month of May, as far as precipitation and temperatures go, the month of June is shaping up to be wet with temperatures that have equal chances to be above, below or average. You can check it out for yourself on the SPC website. http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/predictions/30day/ The first week or two this month looks to be a little on the warm side, with above average precipitation.
We have already seen plenty of rainfall already and we are only 3 days in to the month. Some severe weather moved through last night in the Southern half of our viewing area. We saw a handful of severe thunderstorm warnings along with a tornado warning for Phelps county. Today we look to dry things out, the showers that linger in the South will move out and take the clouds along with it. That means sunshine for us this afternoon. The winds out of the Northeast will help keep the humidity in check, so afternoon highs will be in the lower 80s.
The next chance to see some showers and thunderstorms comes late Friday into Saturday. Will these be severe? Well check out the SPC website with me: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ . At this point it appears that we will be in a slight risk for severe weather the first half of the weekend. This can always change though. The Live Doppler 8 First Alert weather team will be monitoring the situation as it arises.
We have already seen plenty of rainfall already and we are only 3 days in to the month. Some severe weather moved through last night in the Southern half of our viewing area. We saw a handful of severe thunderstorm warnings along with a tornado warning for Phelps county. Today we look to dry things out, the showers that linger in the South will move out and take the clouds along with it. That means sunshine for us this afternoon. The winds out of the Northeast will help keep the humidity in check, so afternoon highs will be in the lower 80s.
The next chance to see some showers and thunderstorms comes late Friday into Saturday. Will these be severe? Well check out the SPC website with me: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ . At this point it appears that we will be in a slight risk for severe weather the first half of the weekend. This can always change though. The Live Doppler 8 First Alert weather team will be monitoring the situation as it arises.
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