Severe Weather Season! We have just seen a dry spell for quite some time where we saw plenty of blue sky but it looks like a wet period will begin. Right now, the current Live Doppler 8 First Alert Radar has heavy showers and thunderstorms moving across the area. This will be the case over the next several days. We will have a chance for some severe weather tomorrow afternoon. It is looking very interesting at this point. Check out the Storm Predictions Center outlook from Norman, OK.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
We are in a slight risk for severe weather, but are showing a 30 % chance for it. Overnight, we will see a low level jet begin to strengthen across Missouri. This will start to advect warm air into the area as the warm front lifts. This allows for some showers and isolated thunderstorms to pop up in the afternoon hours when the air becomes unstable. We will be in the warm sector during this time. If you want to read the area forecast discussion, you can check out this website:
http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=LSX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1
Looks like our main threats here in Central Missouri will be large hail and damaging winds, can't rule out an isolated tornado as well but the majority of the tornadic super cell activity looks to stay South over Arkansas and Louisiana. That is always subject to change. I will be here tomorrow afternoon keeping an eye on things, and giving severe weather updates as necessary!
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